Inmigracion
Cómo la reforma migratoria afectará la carrera de 2024
Con el senador. Tim Scott ( R-S.C. ) y ex gobernador de Arkansas. Asa Hutchinson ( R ) recientes anuncios de campaña presidencial, el La carrera presidencial de 2024 se está calentando. ex presidente Donald Trump así como ex gobernador de Carolina del Sur y ex estadounidense. El embajador ante las Naciones Unidas, Nikki Haley, ya lo ha anunciado.
Del lado demócrata, es probable presidente Joe Biden buscará la renominación. Al comienzo de la temporada de campaña, ambas partes desarrollarán su visión para los Estados Unidos — y pocos temas serán más difíciles que la inmigración. La mayoría de las encuestas muestran que la inmigración es un tema importante en la mente de los estadounidenses junto con la inflación y el aborto. Por lo tanto, los políticos de ambos lados del pasillo presentarán sus planes sobre inmigración. Pero un plan que ha llegado el momento de la inmigración en realidad no es un plan en absoluto. En cambio, lo que Estados Unidos necesita es un líder que presente una estrategia de inmigración.
A primera vista, el tema de la inmigración sería uno que la mayoría de los candidatos querrían evitar. La inmigración está llena de trampas, controversias y no hay soluciones fáciles. Sen. Marco Rubio ( R-Fla. ) intentó ser un líder en inmigración en la década de 2010 y el rechazo del Partido Republicano a sus esfuerzos fue tan fuerte que fue obligado a disculparse. No ha tocado el tema desde entonces. Los llamados a la reforma se han encontrado con hostilidad durante los últimos 30 años.
La crisis en la frontera es, en gran parte, porque nuestro sistema legal de inmigración está fundamentalmente roto. Para los millones de personas que intentan pasar por el sistema legal de inmigración, se encuentran con:
- Paños atrasados que tendrán unos 150 años de espera para convertirse en residentes permanentes
- Una acumulación de más de 1 millón de permisos de trabajo.
- Una falta global de disponibilidad de entrevistas con visas para llegar a los Estados Unidos
- Un sistema que permite ridículamente solo 140,000 tarjetas verdes basadas en el empleo por año en una nación con millones de ofertas de trabajo.
Debido a que nuestro sistema legal de inmigración no funciona, millones de migrantes solicitan asilo a gran escala como su único medio para obtener permiso para vivir y trabajar en los Estados Unidos. No hemos tenido una reforma migratoria desde la década de 1990 y, en lugar de intentarlo, estamos calzando efectivamente un sistema de inmigración de 1990 en 2023 Estados Unidos.
A través de esta lente, la crisis en la frontera es esencialmente una crisis de liderazgo. Los últimos presidentes han gravitado entre la indiferencia a la hostilidad hacia la inmigración sin que ningún presidente realmente intente forjar el consenso y arriesgarse con el capital político en el asunto.
Estados Unidos necesita un líder en el molde de Theodore Roosevelt, un Lyndon B. Johnson o un Ronald Reagan para romper el logjam. Sin embargo, en lugar de cumplir este momento, la mayoría de los políticos de hoy recurren a chivos expiatorios, insultos y frases amigables con la base alimentadas por piratas políticos y consultores. Desafortunadamente para ellos, y más desafortunado para nosotros, Estados Unidos no hará un truco e insultará nuestra salida de este problema.
¿Puede alguno de estos candidatos presidenciales ser diferente? No solo deberían serlo, sino que también puede ser su única forma de ganar sus elecciones primarias y generales. Los demócratas y los republicanos pueden tomar diferentes posiciones sobre las políticas de inmigración, pero una cosa en la que están de acuerdo es que la reforma está muy atrasada. Los estadounidenses deberían exigir menos de un plan de inmigración pero más de una estrategia de inmigración. Un plan es algo que debe rechazarse por completo, ignorarse o separarse. Trump tenía un plan. Lo mismo para Biden. Ninguno de sus planes de inmigración fue aprobado ni realmente entretenido por el Congreso.
En cambio, una campaña presidencial debería comprometerse a adoptar una estrategia integral de inmigración. Deberían prometer hacer lo que ni Biden ni Trump se molestaron en hacer: reunirse con miembros del partido contrario para encontrar un terreno común de manera seria. Podrían comprometerse a trabajar con republicanos y demócratas y reunirse con gobernadores donde deben impulsar soluciones viables. Tendrán que decirles a ambas partes que cualquier reforma tendrá partes que tampoco les gustarán.
Reformar nuestras leyes de asilo al tiempo que aumenta la inmigración legal y la financiación para la seguridad fronteriza podría ser el marco esquelético para cualquier acuerdo.
Ya sea un paquete grande y completo de reforma migratoria o la aprobación de propuestas más pequeñas y populares primero, Una estrategia de inmigración y una seriedad sobre el tema pueden diferenciarlos de todos los candidatos que se postulan para presidente.
Mientras trabaja directamente con el Congreso, la campaña debe prometer reformas administrativas innovadoras para acelerar la inmigración legal. La presidencia tiene una amplia influencia en el curso de la inmigración legal — como puede atestiguar Trump y sus más de 400 cambios en las reglas de inmigración. La campaña podría implementar ideas audaces, como eliminar los sistemas de archivo solo en papel del sistema de inmigración, eximiendo a los dependientes y a los niños de las limitaciones de la visa, realizar entrevistas para solicitantes de visa de forma remota o renunciar a ellos directamente para inmigrantes de bajo riesgo, y apoyarse mucho más en tecnología para examinar y procesar casos rápidamente. Más migrantes procesados y examinados significan menos presión tanto en la frontera como en el mercado laboral.
Cuando los candidatos presidenciales buscan liderazgo en el pasado, demócratas o republicanos, a menudo miran a George Washington. Washington fue un firme defensor de la inmigración argumentando que “ el seno de América está abierto a recibir no solo al Extraño Opulento y respetable, sino también a los oprimidos y perseguidos de todas las naciones y religiones.” Si los candidatos presidenciales quieren cumplir con los deberes de la misma prestigiosa oficina que ocupó Washington, deberán estar a la altura de este momento cuando Estados Unidos clame desesperadamente por el liderazgo.
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